The Floor
Will two spacecraft transfer fuel to each other in orbit before October?
Answering is closed. The attempt window is open and nobody knows yet.
Concluded from · A ship-to-ship propellant transfer confirmed by the operator before 1 October.
Closed 11 days ago
44%
Transfer completed
56%
No transfer yet
13 points apart — the bar grows from even, in the direction the room leans.
Where you stand
The room's largest group answered "No transfer yet".
Answered as you did
—
Lead over second
13 pts
"No transfer yet" is ahead
Everyone here
889
112 changed their mind
How divided
Genuinely divided
agreed → even
| Answer | Share of the room | People | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Transfer completed | 388 | 44% | |
| No transfer yetmost | 501 | 56% |
Settles by 5 Oct · The operator's own confirmation, corroborated by one independent tracker decides it.
889 have taken a position · 112 changed their mind · 3 reasons
What people are weighing
Take a position to mark what weighed with you
- An internal tank-to-tank transfer was demonstrated last yearTransfer completed
- Two vehicles must launch within days of each otherNo transfer yet
- The last two flights ended before orbitNo transfer yet
How the room moved
Share of the room, 0 to 100 per cent · 1 Jul to now
What settles this, and when it closes
Settles yes on a confirmed propellant transfer between two vehicles in orbit, of any quantity.
Source: The operator's own confirmation, corroborated by one independent tracker · expected by 5 Oct
Counting closes on 8 Sept.
What people said · 3
Every bubble carries the side its writer took.
Take a position above to add your view. You can read everyone else’s now.
Mei L.@mei_l· 1 Sept
They only need it to work once, and they have flown the hardware twice already this year.
Mirela V.@mirela_v· 9 Sept
Two vehicles inside a few days is the hard part, not the plumbing. The pad turnaround has never been demonstrated at that cadence.
Owen R.@owen_r· 10 Sept
The internal transfer last year was the physics. What is left is logistics, and logistics is the thing this operator is actually good at.
